Risk of composite thromboembolism (unspecified stroke, TIA, systemic embolism) was significantly higher in patients with increased age, peripheral arterial disease, prior myocardial infarction (MI), prior coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), female gender, renal failure, and aspirin use, as well as hypertension, diabetes, prior thromboembolic event, or prior intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Interestingly, a statistically increased risk was seen with aspirin use.
Conversely, history of heart failure, thyroid disease, and obesity were not associated with increased composite thromboembolic risk. The use of CHADS2-VASc was marginally better than CHADS2 in predicting stroke risk.
ICH risk was increased in patients with older age, prior ischemic stroke, prior ICH, and hypertension. Risk of composite bleeding (from ICH or other major bleeding) was significantly higher in patients with these risk factors, as well as renal failure, liver disease, anemia, dysfunctional platelets, alcohol use, and cancer. Ischemic heart disease was associated with a statistically significant lower risk of ICH, but not of composite bleeding risk.
HAS-BLED usage was as good as, and easier to use than, HEMORR2HAGES in predicting bleeding risk.
Bottom line: CHADS2-VASc might be better than CHADS2 in predicting truly-low-risk patients with nonvalvular afib; HAS-BLED is just as good as, and easier to use than, HEMORR2HAGES in predicting bleeding risk for patients with nonvalvular afib who are to receive antithrombotic therapy.
Citation: Friberg L, Rosenqvist M, Lip GY. Evaluation of risk stratification schemes for ischaemic stroke and bleeding in 182,678 patients with atrial fibrillation: the Swedish Atrial Fibrillation cohort study. Eur Heart J. 2012;33(12):1500-10 [Epub 2012 Jan 13].
Supported Self-Management of COPD Does Not Decrease Readmission or Mortality Rates
Clinical question: Does supported self-management of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) decrease COPD-related hospital readmission or death?
Clinical background: Supported self-management has benefited patients with such chronic diseases as heart failure and asthma. Evidence to support such a strategy for patients with COPD is relatively lacking.
Study design: Randomized, controlled trial.
Setting: Community-based care following urban hospitalization in western Scotland.
Synopsis: From June 2007 to May 2009, and following hospitalization for COPD exacerbation, 464 patients were randomized to receive routine community-based care with or without 12 months of support and training to detect, and promptly treat, recurrent exacerbations. Independent of disease severity or demographics, investigators found no difference in combined readmission (48% vs. 47%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-1.38) or death (10% vs. 7%, 95% CI 0.71-2.61).
Based on review of appropriateness of self-management strategies used by the intervention group, unplanned exploratory subgroup analysis classified a minority of the intervention group as “successful” (42%) supported self-managers, and demonstrated decreased COPD readmissions and death (27% vs. 49%, 95% CI 0.25-0.76, P=0.003) vs. “unsuccessful” self-managers. This successful group was younger and tended to live with others. Further research to define characteristics of patients who benefit from self-management is needed.
Bottom line: Supported self-management of COPD does not reduce COPD-related readmission or death in a large population.
Citation: Bucknall CE, Miller G, Lloyd SM, et al. Glasgow supported self-management trial (GSuST) for patients with moderate to severe COPD: randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 2012;344:e1060 [Epub ahead of print].
Medicare Premier P4P Initiatives Do Not Decrease Mortality
Clinical question: Has the Medicare Premier Hospital Quality Incentive Demonstration (HQID) resulted in lower mortality?
Background: The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’ (CMS) value-based purchasing program will expand to include 30-day mortality in 2013, but do pay-for-performance (P4P) initiatives result in improved mortality? Studies have demonstrated improvement in process of care but have not demonstrated mortality benefit thus far.