System Overload?
With more Americans insured, hospitals’ revenues will increase, according to Davis. Hospital patient loads—and hospitalists’ workloads—would increase, says Iris Mangulabnan, MD, a hospitalist at Covenant HealthCare in Saginaw, Mich.
“In the global scheme of things, if (Obama) is going to have insurance for about 45 million more patients, you’re going to see hospitals crammed with more people,” Dr. Mangulabnan says.
Adam Singer, MD, CEO of IPC: The Hospitalist Company, a national physician group practice based in California, says Obama’s plan has the potential to “overwhelm” the U.S. healthcare system. “Who’s going to take care of all these people?” he says.
Obama’s healthcare plan highlights preventive-care and disease management programs as ways to keep people out of hospitals and save money, but Dr. Mangulabnan says research has shown such initiatives aren’t always effective. “They hold a lot of conceptual promise, but I’m reminded of that fast-food commercial—you know, ‘Where’s the beef?’ ” Dr. Singer says.
Both doctors question how Obama’s healthcare plan, which would cost an estimated $75 billion a year when fully implemented, would be paid for. During his campaign, Obama talked about letting tax cuts expire for people making more than $250,000 a year and using that money for healthcare. But the economic crisis has forced the president to reconsider ending the tax cuts.
Cost is just one obstacle to Obama’s plan. Experts say the list also includes health insurers, pharmaceutical and medical product companies, doctors, congressional Republicans, an agenda full of other pressing problems, and change.
“It’s very difficult for a multitrillion-dollar industry to see the ground shift beneath it. It’s the known versus the unknown,” Davis says. “But I don’t see the economy as an obstacle. If anything, it increases the chance that healthcare will be addressed, because more people are being affected by problems in the system. The main thing that’s driving all of this is a feeling that it’s time.” TH
Lisa M. Ryan is a freelance writer based in New Jersey.